Jumping to conclusions is wrong

Prophetien und Voraussagen, pg. It is to be said that the presented probability calculations, prophecies and predictions are only a portion of all transmissions and the entire extent is somewhat bigger. With frightening accuracy and with great detail they also predicted natural catastrophes and the like — all of which were recorded in my writings and distributed worldwide. Without the help of his extraterrestrial friends, this would not have been possible for him.

Jumping to conclusions is wrong

Instead, too often we mentally leap to the bottom line, and in that leap we often fly past a few things that could lead us to more accurate understanding. Sometimes we even teach others on the basis of our wrong conclusion. The simplest answer is NOT always the correct one. You can find this misinformation in many books and all over the internet.

It has been quoted in learned papers and taught by at least one national training organization that really should know better. It is wrong, and yet it is based on some excellent research by a professor at the prestigious University of California at Los Angeles so… how can it be wrong?

It is wrong because somebody, somewhere, over-simplified. No doubt in a hurry, or because of a word-count limitation assigned by an editor who in turn was bound by page space, a very important piece of information about that research was omitted, not by the original researcher, Dr.

Albert Mehrabian, but by someone in the subsequent reporting chain. The fact is that Dr. Mehrabian was not researching communication in general. He was very specifically researching the communication of feelings.

How often can we tell how someone is feeling just by the way they move as they enter the room? The way they walk, hold their head, the droop of their shoulders, the expression on the face… oh yes, we can see Dr.

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It just means that we can have a fairly good idea about how the individual is feeling. Yet, because someone over-simplified, misinformation is passed on around the world, and courses on body language are seen as even more essential to interpersonal success than they actually are. Body language does not convey facts unless those facts are actually feelings.

This happens a lot. As adults, do we really know if research done with white male college sophomores from an Ivy League college can be generalized to group of people who are far more diverse in race, age, gender and life experience? The results may indicate a possibility, even a probability, but if we are to avoid over-generalization it needs to be replicated with a population that is far more diverse in race, age, gender and life experience before it be applied to the majority of people.

Yet that, of course, is exactly what we do when we stereotype. We take an experience, or an incident, and assume that it is always going to happen in the same way based on whatever is most noticeable about what happened.

Jumping to conclusions is wrong

We take a person who behaves in a certain way and assume that all people like that person have the same behaviors or beliefs. Not only do we base stereotypes on our own experience, but on what we have read or heard from others, whose knowledge may be even further removed from the truth.

Anyone who talked to Dr. Mehrabian about his research would have learned the truth, but the further the misinformation traveled, the more firmly wrong it was.

Jumping to conclusions is wrong

I once started work in a new environment in the U.This page describes the errors that I have seen most frequently in undergraduate mathematics, the likely causes of those errors, and their remedies.

Are you quick to jump to conclusions? Me too. Find out why and how we can stop in this post (plus get 10 lessons from Rising Strong by Brené Brown). Nov 22,  · Contrary to some confused bloggers, solar panels produce the most electricity over the course of a year when pointed south, not west.

A recent report from the Pecan Street Research Institute. Jumping to the wrong conclusions can be very hurt full to other people. In my opinion I think that people should stop jumping to conclusions and take the time to get to know someone.. These are the three main ones that I see the most are peoples appearance, race and religion, location.

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I agree with David (!), Moneyball is wonderful. And I like to think of myself (like David, a SABR member) as one of "those with a more intimate knowledge of the subject matter" who sees "that Lewis's understanding of the topic is somewhat superficial.".

Jan 08,  · On Jan 3rd I received this from Amazon customer Service: Details: order was sent to the wrong shipping address, customer would like to know if there is anything that can be done to help in these situations, please conta.

Why We Jump to Conclusions (and How to Stop) - Becoming Who You Are